http://demoscope.ru/weekly/2005/0227/analit03.php
первая и вторая фазы эпидемиологического перехода
потом третья??? бессмертие
Every time we have technological gains we make gains in life expectancy. Sanitation was a big gain, antibiotics was another. We’re now in the beginning phases of this biotechnology revolution. We’re exploring, understanding and gaining the tools to reprogram the information processes underlying biology; and that will result in another big gain in life expectancy. So, if you watch your health today, the old-fashioned way, you can actually live to see the remarkable 21st century.